Mechanical Market Timing System

• Our public track record shows yearly results you can review for yourself. We are one of the first market timing systems on the Internet with a proven track record that is available to the public.
• Beware of the numerous market timing services out there, which practically guarantee that you will make tons of money. We have found that many of these services show results that are totally unrealistic, unproven, have compounded returns (hyped results), do not perform proper back-testing, do not have real-time trading results, do not have a live track record, and some sites are even manipulative and change their tables to reflect positive signals.
• We encourage any interested investors to thoroughly research web sites that claim to have produced exuberant results. A worthy phrase to remember "if it's too good to be true, then it probably is". We stress caution with other systems, especially on the Internet.
• We relieve the investor of having to depend on financial analysts' recommendations and on company information, that may or may not be truthful.
• We eliminate the emotional turmoil and confusion that all day traders constantly experience.
• Trade the broad market instead of betting on a single company. MMT follows SPY, DIA, and QQQ, with signals to go long or short as trends change.
• We give members an alternative to buy-and-hold in both bullish and bearish markets. When our timing system gives a bullish signal we are buyers. When the stock market turns sour for most, we short sell the market.*
• * Past performance does not guarantee future results.
• We provide a service that is very affordable for the amount of valuable information you will receive!

Why Trade

Reasons why it is imperative to trade the stock market using our proven mechanical system as opposed to the buy-and-hold strategy can be understood in a few charts:

The trading history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average shows numerous secular bull and bear markets lasting 10-20 years each.

The current secular bear market of the S&P 500 Index has two major bull cycles and two major bear cycles.

Secular markets explained by trends in the price/earnings ratios (P/E) of the S&P 500 Index.

Using a simple price and moving average crossover technique applied to the S&P 500 Index can outperform the buy-and-hold strategy of investing (our method is more complex and proprietary).

Mechanical Market Timing System vs Buy & Hold

Investors are told that their best strategy in stock investing is a simple "buy-and-hold" strategy: buy a diversified stock market index and hold it. Yet most investment literature assumes that investors will hold a security if and only if its expected return at the market price provides an adequate tradeoff with the risk exposure the security brings. In other words, investors are assumed to make their own judgment on whether a security is worth holding. Saying that investors should not "time the market" is equivalent to saying that consumers should not maximize utility when making consumption decisions. The standard reply to this criticism is that because the stock market is fairly efficient, accurate market timing is very difficult. In fact, it is said to be so difficult that investors are better off not trying.

Today's most widely recommended investment strategy is buy-and-hold. This is, buy some good stocks or mutual funds, sit back, and "let it ride". Wouldn't it be great if it were that easy! Unfortunately, the exaggerated potential of buy and hold investing is more myth than reality.

History of the stock market

The more you study the history of the stock market, the more you begin to understand the real dangers of buy-and-hold investing. A single bear market can destroy a large portion of your accumulated assets. Unfortunately, mutual fund companies, the popular financial press, and even some professional investment advisors, have convinced the majority of investors to accept the "let it ride" philosophy. Since 1928, the S&P 500 has experienced 27 bear markets, averaging about one every 3.5 years.¹

Bear markets have slashed the S&P 500 by about 35% on average.¹

Had you invested $100,000 in the S&P 500 at its January 1973 peak, it would have fallen to about $51,800 by October 1974, a 48% drop in 21 months. The index didn't get back to its old high until July 1980, seven and a half years after the peak.² Sick over their losses, most buy-and-hold investors eventually give up and bail out. And who can blame them?

¹ Ned Davis Research, via Hartford Funds, 10 Things You Should Know About Bear Markets (June 2025). S&P 500 price index; data as of March 31, 2025. A bear market is a closing decline of 20% or more.

² Yardeni Research, Stock Market Historical Tables: Bull & Bear Markets (October 28, 2022), Tables 2 and 5. S&P 500 price index, excludes dividends. The $100,000 example follows the index's price change; recovery times run from the prior peak.

Successful investing in the stock market takes more than a single decision to buy a mutual fund or stock. It requires many important adjustments as market conditions change. Optimistic predictions from the so-called experts of Wall Street make interesting commentary, but do little to protect your assets when the stock market falls.

We do not pretend to know the future. Buy-and-hold leaves you exposed when the market falls. Our system is designed to help members beat the buy-and-hold strategy without simply riding every bull and bear cycle.*

For this example, the buy-and-hold strategy lost 10% in about 4 1/2 years, whereas the simple crossover example gained +120% in the same period. This isn't the strategy we are using, because our trading methodology is proprietary.*